On June 9, 2025, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban gave an interview to the French television channel LCI, where he made a series of statements that marked a significant departure from his long-held image as one of Europe’s most restrained voices on Russia. His remarks suggested a shift not only in rhetoric but possibly in strategy, signaling deeper undercurrents within European politics.
From “Russia’s Advocate” to a Realist
Long criticized for his close ties with the Kremlin, Orban has now made it clear that in the current geopolitical climate, maintaining a stance of “neutral bridge” is becoming both politically and strategically untenable. His support for Ukraine’s right to self-defense and his praise of its “heroic” efforts were not just rhetorical nods — they marked a shift in priorities.
Yet, even as he backed Ukraine’s sovereignty, Orban reaffirmed his opposition to the country’s membership in NATO and the European Union, arguing that such moves risk escalating the conflict. This positioning allows him to walk a fine line: promoting peace without committing to maximalist, polarizing solutions.
Russia “Too Weak” — But Still a Force
One of the most striking comments was directed at Russia’s military capacity: “The Russians are too weak; they can’t even defeat Ukraine.” Harsh words — but in Orban’s context, more a pragmatic observation than bravado. He aimed to dispel the myth of an all-powerful Russia, while simultaneously urging Europe to recognize that the true danger lies not in Russia’s current strength, but in its unpredictability and reliance on force.
Orban emphasized that Moscow understands only the “language of power” and that diplomatic overtures — whether from Europeans or Ukrainians — are doomed to fail. His implication: Europe must show resolve through action, not just negotiation.
Betting on Washington
Perhaps most telling was Orban’s view on how the conflict could end. In his opinion, meaningful negotiations are only possible between the United States and Russia. While this may be unpopular among European capitals, it reflects a sober assessment of where real power lies. Moreover, Orban openly stated that Ukraine’s membership in Western institutions should be a point of compromise. In his framework, this is not a concession, but a strategic move to prevent a larger war.
Why the Shift?
Analysts suggest this is less a radical policy change than an adjustment to a new reality. After more than two years of war, much of Europe is growing weary of endless confrontation. Orban may be among the first to voice aloud what has so far only been whispered behind closed doors.
There are also electoral factors: with EU parliamentary elections approaching and nationalist movements on the rise, Orban may be seeking to capture a narrative that resonates with a broader electorate — one that favors strength and stability over ideological entrenchment.
Implications: Crack or Opportunity?
Orban’s comments are bound to draw criticism, particularly from those who view him as an unreliable partner. But they also can’t be dismissed. He is giving voice to the concerns and questions that many European leaders are beginning to confront. His words are not so much a break with the past as a test: how far is Europe willing to go to balance its support for Ukraine with its desire to avoid a wider war?
The core question Orban has raised will only grow louder: Is peace possible without concessions? Or has the age of diplomacy truly passed, leaving only the “language of power”?
Sources:
Interview with Viktor Orban on LCI (June 9, 2025)
Comments by political analyst G. Pelle on Euractiv
Analysis by the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS)
